Indian
People vs. Price Hike
The
deteriorating global market due to the repercussions of global recession of
2008 has brought fiscal losses and unemployment in a large geo-economic area.
Alike many developed and developing nations, India failed to keep her insulated
from the ramifications of the global slowdown. Consequently, the economic
monsters of fiscal-deficit and deteriorating currency imbued the vicious
scourge of Price Hike into the market. A juxtaposition of the current face price
of any arbitrary commodity in the market with that of the price before 2008
could insinuate the manifold increase in prices. The statistical data from the
competent institutions like NSSO, RBI, Ministry of Finance, PMEAC and the
Planning Commission corroborated the uncomfortably high percentage of inflation
ranging near double digits from 8.0% to 11.0% at different quarters of the
current financial year based on Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Taking
account of the price hike in essential domestic commodities like food stuff and
LPG could reveal the plight of millions households. The prices of milk and
vegetables ratcheted in recent days have instilled upheaval in domestic budget
of middle class families. The unruly price hike of diesel and petrol increases transportation
costs which has cascading effects on the market commodities. The price of
petrol in 2008 was nearly ` 45.00 per litre which has crossed an alarming high
price line of ` 70.00 per litre throughout the country with little aberrations.
The price of diesel experienced an exorbitant price hike of around ` 20.00 per
litre from erstwhile low rate of approx. ` 30.00 per litre. The Indifference
Curve of every middle class family has been lowered due to the constrained
budget line which in turn diffuses dissatisfaction and engenders social unrest.
The burning example of which is the contrived situation in the middle-east
countries viz Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen, etc.
Inflation
is the term used to denote the percentage growth in prices of goods and
services with respect to their prices in some relevant base year. The
perplexing price rise is a matter of studies for the eminent economists of
every epoch. As a matter of fact, the effect of price rise is both negative and
positive in economic terms. Enumerating the reasons of price rise we encounter
terms like, monetary inflation, black-marketing, unmatched demand and supply,
market monopoly and business accession. Let us demystify the terms one by one,
starting with monetary inflation. The problem of monetary inflation indicates a
situation of excessive money supply in market which corrodes the real value or
the purchasing power of currency. Hence, each unit of currency could fetch
fewer amounts of commodities and services. Black-Marketing refers to the
depraved act of a few manufacturer and stockiest who hoard the product in
godown to artificially inflate the price in order to reap larger profit in
future. The unmatched demand and supply has both negative and positive effect
on prices of goods and services. If the demand is more than the total potential
of supply then the price rises and if the supply is more than potential demand
then the price fells. Market monopoly and business accession are two faces of
the same coin. When a big giant manufacturer takes over the business of several
small enterprises, the competitions in the market evaporate, precipitating back
monopoly into the market.
Price
hike is akin to a viral disease which insidiously affects a larger section of
society and brings infrastructural annihilation. Apart from the direct
conundrums, it leads to a sudden drop in demand due to contained purchasing
capacity of buyers. The drop in demand is counter balanced by drop in
production which means drop in exigencies of variable factors of production,
e.g. labour, raw-material, running cost, etc. The drop in labour-requirement
unleashes devastating unemployment and under-employment in society.
The
capitalists face another species of problem simultaneously where the
expenditure on fixed factors of production remains equal to the pre-fall demand
situation because the fixed factors cost are levied on infrastructure, long-run
investment, insurance premium, rent, etc. which are inert to short-run
aberrations in total quantity produced. Hence, it bolsters the increase in
Average Total Cost of production. This double faceted situation, on one hand
deteriorate the purchasing capacity of market while on the other hand it incur
loss of capital and thus lead to shut-down of factories in financial crisis
which in turn further aggravate the problem of unemployment thus lowering
further the purchasing capacity.
Trade
deficit is yet another implication which is a negative effect of inflation or
the price hike where the domestic market gets dearer. It promotes imports over
exports which results in loss of foreign exchange. Besides, the difference in
imports and exports result in trade deficit. The price hike has a good effect
on an economy at initial level and under a comfortable zone of 2%-3%. It leads
to growth in economy by increasing demand. Thus result in employment
opportunities. An economy toils to fend off the exaggeration of inflation
through monetary policies and fiscal policies. The central bank of a nation is
equipped with the tools like bank-rate, cash reserve ratio and bank security.
When the inflation crosses the level of ease to the level of discomfort, the
central bank of a nation, Reserve Bank of India in ours case, increases the
bank rate i.e. Repo Rate, Reverse Repo Rate and Marginal Standing Facilities.
This result in higher interest rate on loans which deter public from taking
loans whereas promote saving to attract higher interest from the bank. In both
the case, the cash is revoked from the market which helps to resist the fall in
real value of currency. The Cash Reserve Ratio is required to be maintained by
the commercial banks to the Reserve Bank of India which also help in revocation
of liquidity from the market. The bond and securities sold by the Reserve Bank
of India to the commercial banks is yet another apparatus to revoke the
liquidity from the market. Besides, the government levies taxes of different
forms to curb the inflation.
Price
hike or the inflation is a necessary evil of a growing economy such as ours
which could be tamed through suitable and sustainable measures. The efforts of
economists have formulated several tactics to maintain the inflation at the
zone of comfort. The problem of price hike is a problem faced by common people;
hence it is the infallible duty of the Indian Government and the Economists to
bring it under control whereas it is the duty of the People to proliferate the
technical aspects of inflation among unapprised masses.
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